Australian dollar may hit US65c

Open demo account
FOREX trading implies serious risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital

Financial and commodity markets analytics

The Australian dollar’s run as one of the best performing currencies this year may be coming to an end on the back of weaker commodity prices and rate cut expectations over the past week.

At 7.29pm (GMT) the Aussie dollar was trading at US75.59c down from US76.75c in yesterday’s trading.

Iron ore prices are off almost 4 percent since reaching a 24-month high last week, and coupled together with disappointing export and trade balance figures release earlier today, the writing may be on the wall for the Australian dollar.

The disappointing export figures are mainly attributed to China, Australia’s biggest trading partner with the biggest culprit being a reduced demand for Iron ore.

Any slowdown in China would be disastrous for the Australian economy.

Ever since last week analysts and government officials alike such as Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Philip Lowe ,who noted the investors shouldn’t get used to Australia’s biggest export hanging around the $90 mark,

“I do think that commodity prices are going to come back off again,” Lowe told a parliamentary panel last Friday.

“We shouldn’t start to think that the iron ore price is going to stay around $90.” He added.

Another factor hurting the Australian dollar at the moment against it’s American counterpart is expectations that the RBA will have to lower interest rates too boost inflation, which will bring the benchmark interest rate on par or even lower than in the US,

Paul Dales, chief Australia and New Zealand economist for Capital Economics predicts that interest rates in Australia as well as the Aussie dollar are headed much lower,

“The RBA won’t raise rates in 2017 or likely in 2018, and I wouldn’t be putting much money on a hike in 2019 either. In fact, with the housing market slowing, the labour market weakening and inflation staying below target it’s possible that there will be cuts this year to 1 percent” he said.

“We also think the Australian dollar could fall from US77c today to around US65c because of RBA rate cuts, a stronger US dollar thanks to Trump’s expansionary plans for the world’s biggest economy and falling commodity prices.” he added.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The material published in on this page is produced by the FIBO group companies, and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2004/39/EC; furthermore it has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

Fibo Markets

FIBO Markets Ltd. (ex. FIBO Group Holdings Ltd.) is authorized and regulated by the CySEC (licence no. 118/10) and operates in accordance with the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID) of the European Union.

Unfortunately, our services are not available to individuals residing in Canada, the United States of America, North Korea, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Australia, Belgium, or Japan.

29 Agias Zonis, 1st Floor, 3027, Limassol, Cyprus

© 1998—2023 FIBO Markets Ltd. (ex. FIBO Group Holdings Ltd.)

IMPORTANT: Please be informed, that our services are available for Professional Clients only. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Please note that our services are provided only to the residents of the following counties (in alphabetical order): Austria, Bulgaria, British Virgin Islands, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Kazakhstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Oman, People's Republic of China, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Slovakia,Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates.

Please feel free to contact out Support in order to get further assistance.