Analysts at odds over gold

Open demo account
FOREX trading implies serious risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital

Financial and commodity markets analytics

After hitting a low of $1,282 in yesterday’s trading session the gold price has managed to recover and is now trading at $1,293 late in the European session so the question begs, is this the start of some sort of rally or is it just a false bounce?

The precious metal has been under pressure for more than a month now on the back of a stronger dollar and rising US bond yields which are attracting investors seeking bigger returns which doesn’t help the gold price as it is not an interest-bearing asset.

The last few days have now left analysts divided on the future of the gold price with some saying this may be the beginning of a sustained rally and especially if gold can rise back up through the psychological $1,300 mark.

“Gold came right down to our $1,280 level and this should be the bottom for the move. Gold has been bullied by the strong dollar, interest rates and rallying equities but appears to have put in a bottom. The $1,280 level should hold and the rally should be on, with only a small chance to see $1,260”. said Todd Horwitz, chief market strategist of BubbaTrading.com

Others believe that gold will find it very difficult to push much higher in the near term due to factors such as the US dollar’s recent rally among other things and we should expect further losses before it finally finds a bottom.

The combination of a stronger US dollar and higher US 10 year nominal and real yields is a very negative environment for gold prices,” said ABN Amro senior precious metals and diamond analyst Georgette Boele.

“We expect gold price weakness to continue in the coming weeks and months. It is likely that gold prices will fall below USD 1,275 per ounce and test USD 1,250 per ounce this year followed by a stabilization,” she added.

The material published in on this page is produced by the FIBO group companies, and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2004/39/EC; furthermore it has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

Fibo Markets

FIBO Markets Ltd. (ex. FIBO Group Holdings Ltd.) is authorized and regulated by the CySEC (licence no. 118/10) and operates in accordance with the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID) of the European Union.

Unfortunately, our services are not available to individuals residing in Canada, the United States of America, North Korea, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Australia, Belgium, or Japan.

29 Agias Zonis, 1st Floor, 3027, Limassol, Cyprus

© 1998—2023 FIBO Markets Ltd. (ex. FIBO Group Holdings Ltd.)

IMPORTANT: Please be informed, that our services are available for Professional Clients only. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Please note that our services are provided only to the residents of the following counties (in alphabetical order): Austria, Bulgaria, British Virgin Islands, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Kazakhstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Oman, People's Republic of China, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Slovakia,Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates.

Please feel free to contact out Support in order to get further assistance.