Oil to remain flat

Open demo account
FOREX trading implies serious risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital

Financial and commodity markets analytics

The oil price is set to remain stagnant over the next few years according to some analysts with the outside possibility that the price could tumble if Opec members fail to cooperate or production levels from the US continue to rise.

Oil production from the United States has risen 10 percent this year to more than 9.5 million barrels per day and they have no intention to go along with Opec and reduce supplies

“We don’t see big reasons for inventories to go down a lot from still high levels now. Hence we don’t see big reasons for prices to go up or down by much in 2018, and it’s similar for 2019,” said Jeff Brown, the president of consultancy Facts Global Energy.

Mr Brown also noted that Opec members will have to extend the current production cuts indefinitely, and a failure to do so could see the price of oil encounter substantial losses.

“OPEC doesn’t have an exit strategy. They need to continue to manage the market, or prices will drop a lot. If OPEC decides not to roll over, oil prices could easily could fall back into the $30s,” he said.

Oil could soon be traded in currencies other than the US dollar which will throw another round of uncertainty into the market, and according to Carl Weinberg, chief economist and managing director at High Frequency Economics, China and the Chinese yuan are set to be the main beneficiaries as the country buys more oil than any other.

"I believe that yuan pricing of oil is coming and as soon as the Saudis move to accept it as the Chinese will compel them to do. Then the rest of the oil market will move along with them." Mr Weinberg said

The material published in on this page is produced by the FIBO group companies, and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2004/39/EC; furthermore it has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

Fibo Markets

FIBO Markets Ltd. (ex. FIBO Group Holdings Ltd.) is authorized and regulated by the CySEC (licence no. 118/10) and operates in accordance with the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID) of the European Union.

Unfortunately, our services are not available to individuals residing in Canada, the United States of America, North Korea, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Australia, Belgium, or Japan.

29 Agias Zonis, 1st Floor, 3027, Limassol, Cyprus

© 1998—2023 FIBO Markets Ltd. (ex. FIBO Group Holdings Ltd.)

IMPORTANT: Please be informed, that our services are available for Professional Clients only. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Please note that our services are provided only to the residents of the following counties (in alphabetical order): Austria, Bulgaria, British Virgin Islands, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Kazakhstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Oman, People's Republic of China, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Slovakia,Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates.

Please feel free to contact out Support in order to get further assistance.