Oil to remain range bound
Published on 21.08.2017 12:20

The oil price is taking breather today after racking up solid gains last Friday after a report showed the number of oil rigs decreased in the US for the second time in 2 months.

Oil production has been on the rise in America in recent months but it has failed to stop the reduction in supplies due to a number of factors such as production cuts from OPEC,

“Despite the fact that production has increased, it remains the case that inventories are falling,” said Ric Spooner, an analyst at CMC Markets in Sydney.

“It does indicate that the OPEC cuts are working. Prices remain in a range of about $44 to $52 at the moment.” He added.

Analysts at Citi bank predict that the oil price will be stuck in the $40 to $60 range over the next 5 years on the back of increased shale drilling in the US and as projects from countries such as brazil and Canada come on board.

This goes against prediction that OPEC cuts will eventually lead to a huge gap in the market and drive the oil price significantly higher

"This is contrary to the conventional wisdom forming and espoused by the likes of the IEA to the Saudis and the Russians among others, who warn that a supply gap is emerging imminently, perhaps by the end of the decade," Citi analysts wrote.

The material published in on this page is produced by the FIBO group companies, and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2004/39/EC; furthermore it has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

Andrew Masters

Analyst

The world of trading has no boundaries

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this broker. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

×

Risk warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this broker. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, your investment objectives, your level of experience and readiness of taking risk. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or of all of your initial investments and therefore you should not risk more than you are prepared to lose. Please seek independent financial advice if necessary.

Important notice
By clicking "Continue" you will be redirected to the website operated by FIBO Group, LTD company registered in BVI and regulated by FSC. Please familiarize yourself with the Customer Agreement through the link. Click "Cancel" to remain on this page.